Robert Besser
19 May 2025, 12:13 GMT+10
TOKYO, Japan: Japan's economy contracted for the first time in a year, shrinking at a faster pace than expected in the first quarter as steep U.S. tariffs cast a shadow over the export-dependent economy.
Data showed that the economy shrank at an annualized rate of 0.7 percent in the January-March period, far worse than the 0.2 percent decline forecasted by analysts.
The slump was driven by stagnant private consumption and falling exports, highlighting the vulnerability of Japan's recovery even before President Donald Trump announced sweeping tariffs in early April. The export-heavy automobile sector is particularly at risk as the U.S. moves to impose a 24 percent tariff on Japanese goods starting in July unless a deal is reached.
Despite the grim headline figure, there were some bright spots in the data. Capital expenditure rose 1.4 percent, exceeding expectations and contributing 0.7 percentage points to GDP growth. The GDP deflator, a measure of price pressures in the economy, increased by 3.3 percent in the first quarter, marking the second consecutive quarterly rise.
Economic Revitalisation Minister Ryosei Akazawa acknowledged the challenges posed by U.S. trade policy, warning that tariffs could further dent consumption and household sentiment. "We must be mindful of downside risks to the economy from U.S. tariff policy," Akazawa said.
Exporters are already feeling the pinch. Toyota Motor said it expects profit to decline by 20 percent this financial year, and Mazda has delayed its earnings forecast due to uncertainty over U.S. trade measures.
While the Bank of Japan hiked interest rates to 0.5 percent in January after a decade of near-zero rates, it has since scaled back its growth projections and warned that ongoing tariff tensions could force it to reconsider further rate increases.
Analysts warn that the risk of another contraction looms in the second quarter, particularly if U.S. tariffs take a heavy toll on capital spending and exports. "The early-year contraction serves as a reminder of Japan's economic struggles," said Stefan Angrick, head of Japan and Frontier markets Economics at Moody's Analytics.
Get a daily dose of Business Sun news through our daily email, its complimentary and keeps you fully up to date with world and business news as well.
Publish news of your business, community or sports group, personnel appointments, major event and more by submitting a news release to Business Sun.
More InformationTOKYO, Japan: Japan's economy contracted for the first time in a year, shrinking at a faster pace than expected in the first quarter...
CORAOPOLIS, Pennsylvania: Dick's Sporting Goods is set to acquire Foot Locker in a US$2.4 billion deal, marking the second major footwear...
BENTONVILLE, Arkansas: Walmart shoppers are bracing for price hikes as the world's largest retailer prepares to pass on the impact...
CHICAGO, Illinois: U.S. cattle farmers have either started rebuilding their herds or are close to it, according to Tyson Foods CEO...
WASHINGTON, D.C.: Smartphone shipments to the United States jumped 30 percent in March as manufacturers including Apple, Samsung, and...
CHICAGO, Illinois: Kraft Heinz is committing US$3 billion to revamp its U.S. manufacturing plants, marking its largest investment in...
DUBLIN, Ireland: With artificial intelligence rapidly reshaping industries worldwide, Ireland has established a new Oireachtas committee...
PHNOM PENH, May 19 (Xinhua) -- Amidst the fast-changing international situation, Cambodia and China should stand side by side to tackle...
ABU DHABI, 17th May, 2025 (WAM) -- The UAE Cybersecurity Council (CSC) announced the development of the UAE's first national Drone...
Aizawl (Mizoram) [India], May 17 (ANI): The 17th Digital Transformation Conclave, jointly organised by the Department of ICT, Government...
New Delhi [India], May 16 (ANI): Union Home Minister Amit Shah on Friday inaugurated the new Multi Agency Centre (MAC) in the national...
BEIJING, May 16 (Xinhua) -- China's artificial intelligence (AI) boom is fueling a fierce talent crunch, with tech companies -- from...